House Price Spy Blog

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House prices fall by 0.3% in the last month, just in time for the start of the election build up. While the country is enjoying a relaxing of the economic climate, there is along way to go before we are back to 2007 levels, which party will prove to be the favoured one to bring us out of the recession? Have Labour learned their lessons on the finance sector?

Property will be one of the hot potatoes in the election, we see the US struggling to pull out of recession and keep up their international ‘duties’, the UK’s record national debt threatens any plans to artificially boost the property market. First time buyers are still in the mire they were (usually low earners and low on savings) and throwing billions of public money at them wont have great results. The government need to give something for everyone, rather than giving with one hand and taking with the other in the manner of all politicians.

Prices are sure to start rising again in 2010, at least the number of properties for sale is rising making the market more stable even if the average price is down. The people who will lose out are sellers who have reason to sell up which cant wait.

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House prices rose from 7% to 10% during 2009, but fell in the last month possibly due to the increase in properties for sale. The recent budget 2010 just announced will make little difference to most householders and those entering the market will see no end to the crisis. First time buyers will enjoy the lowered prices and the stamp duty break on propeties under £250,000.

As you can appreciate this creates more problems for certain sellers, imagine your property is now worth £250,000, do you sell and lose 3% or be patient? This legislation will boost 3.8million potential properties but lose money for quite a few. There must be a better solution that benefits everyone. Like young families, first time buyers seem to be the chosen few for New Labour. The rest of the market pays for subsidies to them, first time buyers usually stay for a few years in their chosen property therefore can breaks for first time buyers be seen as viable to get the market moving? Once on the ladder are we expected to endlessly move home when the market is down?

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The number of properties up for sale in the UK risen by over 17% in the last month, this has had the obvious result that the rise in prices has stalled. The sellers market which saw mortgave approvals fall has now turned into a buyers market.

There were over 100,000 propeties up for sale during the last month which is the highest for around 18 months. The pre slump value was around 130,000. The main feature of the recovery has been the low number of sales making the market extremely volatile, now hopefully we will see a more stable recovery powered by a healthier market with increased confidence.

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The number of mortgage approvals in the UK has fallen by around 50% or more. The number of general mortgages has fallen by 49% since December and first time mortgages have tumbles by 54% acording to figures provided by the Council of Mortgage Lenders. With the steady rise in prices seen in late 2009 now fading it seems that the turnaround in the economy is not quite as robust as we had thought.

Savers are seeing any income from interest reduced to almost nothing, retail prices are rising and with a general election on the horizon the country is not in quite the position we were led to believe by the government. Mortgage funding has underpinned the slight recovery that we have enjoyed over the last part of 2009, with this money reduced the number of sales will fall meaning many will be unable to sell their properties.

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Any ideas of a quick fix to enconomy look to be over, no matter what the government say we are still plumbing the depths of recession with years to wait before the good times return.

Property prices in the UK have recovered from a 14% deficit on 2007 prices by around 9% but many reliable market insiders are predicting another fall in prices for 2010. With many homeowners staying put, the stamp duty legislation changes and the finances of the country not recovering quite as fast as had been hoped the market is set to see a drop in average house prices.

Average prices have fallen already by 1% and with the usual slump in prices at the turn of the year and the associated drop in mortgage approvals it may be the summer of 2010 before we see any progress on the economy. There are fewer buyers with less money to spend and reduced borrowing potential.

With many lenders creeping back to their old ways of granting 90% mortgages etc are we seeing the strong fiscal leadership we were promised by the FSA and Government?

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As you can see from House Price Spy property prices are holding 2009 prices with slight regional rises, but it is the number of sales that show an alarming drop. English sales have fallen from 58,000 in October to 18,000 in 2010. This emphasizes the weakness of the recovery, the price rise/hold is extremely fragile with big changes possible in a short time frame.

With the big winter freeze set to end in the next few weeks will we see reluctant buyers venturing out? Prices might even fall when the market picks up, the price stability is linked to an artificially low number of sales, new build and sitting tenants.

With billions pumped into the economy have we really seen enough of any effect? With Greece being the latest country to call in the IMF, are we much better? By many important indices we are worse off than: Spain, Portugal, Greece and Ireland.

House prices have risen for the sixth month in a row, plus consumer confidence has risen in according to many important indices. The Bank Of England is planning an end to devalation of the Pound Sterling, with £200 BN already pumped into the UK economy in the last year or so. Gross Domestic product rose by 0.1%, overseas orders represent a large part of that amount.

The average house price rose by 1.2% in the last month leading many to say that the recession would be on its last legs, unemployment has bottomed out and consumers find themselves to consider the glass half full rather than half empty.

With tax hikes projected by all major political parties and banks recouping their losses this may not be the time to celebrate just yet, we will feel the pinch during 2010 whatever happens but the worst appears to be over unless you live in areas with closing factories and manufacturing.